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As I said in another thread, would it really be that hard to just make a statistical study of this stuff? Take, let's say, 100 people, play and see how many other players of a certain category (Japanese, for example) you see between encountering each other.



Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

Bet with WagnerPaiva:

 

I win if Emmanuel Macron wins the french presidential election May 7th 2017.