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Sony - PlayStation 5 sales - View Post

Ryng_Tolu said:
Angelv577 said:

for me it's a reasonable reason, why? because ps consoles are the only console that have sold over 80m, which shows me consistency over a period of 3 generations and you and I know ps4 will sell at least 80m.  Nintendo consoles are difficult to predict because of the Wii that went out of the curve but every nintendo console has been in declining if you take out Wii in the equation.  So unless nintendo bring another hit, it will sell in the range of 20m-40m, maybe 50m max.  You can't compare nintendo consoles with sony consoles because again ps consoles has shown consistency, nintendo consoles doesn't.

In this case, every Nintendo HANDHELD sold more than 80m, but for 3DS will be hard sell those numbers, (most likely 70-75 million)... I also can said in 2006 "all PlayStation console sold more than 100 million, so, PS3 will sell at least 100 million"...

The problem is you want to combine every gaming system of the market as one whereas I see the handheld division as a separate entity from home console, this mean that if you want to predict Nintendo next home consoles sales, you can't take into consideration the handheld sales because the curve for both of them are very different.  Nintendo handheld business has shown consistency, thus thinking the next nintendo handheld will sell over 80m is reasonable but you can't apply that to the next nintendo console because they have behave in a different way.  The same way I remembered people predicting that ps4 was  going to flop because Ps vita flopped, you know, being the most powerful and all that and look how that turns out.  Sony home consoles has shown consistency whereas sony handheld division has shown huge declining, thus can't use one of them to predict the other.  If you want to predict home consoles sales, have to look at prior home console sales, the same way it works for handheld.

for the bolded, that's why I use 80m and not 100m because every consoles has sold at least 80m, one console showed that 100m isn't the minimum and with ps4 sales dominating this gen, you can't conclude that ps home console are in declining because ps4 is way ahead of ps3 and it's the console leader right now.