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Single SKU, albeit that makes no difference since XO is not really there. 

According to VGC the best selling shooter last gen was CoD:BO2 on PS3. (MGS is classified as Action by VGC and Action-adventure, stealth by wikipedia, so i went with that)

BO2 Numbers
FW: 200k (last week of november)
LT: 600k
PS3 Userbase: 8,6M at FW. 10M+ LT

So, i think everybody agree PS4 will sell less than PS3 in Japan. This could have a negative impact in the genre, AW/BF4 were already outsold by Splatoon.

Yes, i know PS4 userbase will grow, but will the western shooter be able to outsell BO2 this gen?