| binary solo said: So what you are saying is that there were retailer factors that drove Xb one sales over PS4 in April that are not present in the market for May, which means Xb one should rop more in May than PS4 because PS4 had no reduction in retailer buying incentives between April and May. But on the flip side there is still the Batman effect. With the exclusive bundles (even the non-special edition bundle) there are downward pressures on PS4 sales that should move a noticeable amount of sales into June. I think what the batman effect will do is mean the aggregate of April, May and June NPDs will come out with PS4 ahead, but the individual month sales will be heavily skewed to June for PS4 and sales will be close for May, as they were for April. As I said previously I think based on the larger gap on Amazon this month between the TLOU bundle and the 2 main Xb one bundles I give the probable win for May to PS4, but with Xb one still in with a decent chance. I think June through to Halo 5 month should be safely in the hands of PS4 with reasonable margins, and quite likely the Halo 5 effect will mean comparatively larger gaps in the one or 2 months prior to Halo 5 month (is that July and August?). Even though PS4 will drop in price the month Halo 5 comes out (seems like a no-brainer for Sony do drop the price then) the remainder of the year after Halo 5 comes out should go to Xb one. 2015 sales difference should be very interesting, it could be very close. |
I didn't really say anything about May, though. My point to Ryng was to look at the reasons why the results are the way they are. Don't just say the XBO will win May because it won April. The possibility is definitely there, but if the XBO wins May, it will likely not be for the same reasons as in April (e.g. white Halo MCC bundle, I'm looking at you).
I agree with much of what you said. I'm not so sure how much The Witcher III and FFX|X-2 HD factored into the PS4's sales. While Microsoft had marketing rights and The Witcher series never sniffed the PS3 last gen, the PS4 version sold twice as much in the US's little bro, the UK. FFX|X-2 HD appears to be significant because it's a Final Fantasy game and those who have a PS4, but never had a PS3 last gen can get their hands on it. However, it's a re-remaster.
