Ryng_Tolu said: XBO won, this is the reason for why XBO will win even this time. Doesn't matter if the gap was small, PS4 lose, that's why will lose even this time. Even if PS4 could win April NPD, still, XBO have strong chance for beat PS4, because of course PS4 will have a bigger dropped than XBO this month. And i seriusly don't know why you guys think XBO will have a bigger dropped than PS4. Some people also think PS4 will sell more than April in May. SERIUSLY? This is the pre-batman bundle month, there is NO REASON for PS4 sell more in May than in April. The Witcher? Pls, last year PS4 was down with Watch_Dogs... |
Okay, I think I really need to make this clear.
NPD tracks the Big 5, which are Gamestop, Best Buy, Target, Walmart, and Amazon. According to Abdiel, the PS4 won in Best Buy and having looked at the best-sellers list on Walmart online, PS4 likely beat the XBO in Walmart. The XBO beat the PS4 in Amazon, though the retailer only encompasses ~5% of the marketshare. So that leaves Target and Gamestop. Gamestop was offering a $125 for consumers who traded in a PS3 or 360 for an XBO and Target was offering $25 of free game credit for those who bought the MCC bundle.
People, including me, thought that the PS4 won because they thought buying habits were the same across the board, from retailer to retailer. However, this is not the case as Target and Gamestop had unique deals. XBO beat the PS4 by a narrow margin in April because it won Gamestop which holds the plurality of the marketshare.
So you can't just say XBO will win May because it won April. You need to look back and analyze why the XBO won April. Then, you look at May and ask yourself is the same thing happening in May as in April.