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Well this is a kinda rigged question since the only exclusives coming out are either established big or hyped up. It's not like there's any smaller ones coming that we know of, iirc. If it stays that way then it's Splatoon vs Halo, Bloodborne, and Order 1886 which pretty stiff competition. Out of those three, only The Order seems possible to be beat. Bloodborne has done much better than the Order and Halo - even if it is the worst selling ever - will be almost impossible for Splatoon to catch.