Could This Generation Be as long/Longer Than The Last One?

[JRPGfan]

haxxiy said:

NiKKoM said:
I hope not.. My phone in 2024 will be more powerfull then this gen...

Not quite. iPhone processors average 4 watts and deliver around 75 gflops on 20 nm, so on 5nm it should deliver some 1.2 tflops?, assuming a completely linear, optmistic scaling on power draw. So still slightly less than the XOne. Tablets will have much more luck though.

 

I'm not funny, I know.

 

OT - it probably depends more on GlobalFoundries / TSMC then Microsoft or Sony. If we're stuck on 14nm Finfets for 4 years like 28 nm, they'll wait for the first 10nm revision. If revisions come faster this time around, and their gains are smaller, they'll wait for 7 nm.

 

 

Arnt there people saying the limits of whats possible right now is somewhere between 7nm and 10nm?

We might never reach 5nm..... long before then they might give up, or move to a new type of chip.

(light instead of electricity, moveing tiny light beams around doesnt generate heat the same way electricity does, so maybe they just shoot up clock rates, on some gigantic 40nm+ "light" based chip)

Basically even by 2024 there probably wont be a top end smart phone, near the power of the Xbox one, unless something new comes along and drastically changes things.