this will be a long gen. maybe a bit shorter than last gen but still a solid 6 years.
sony is dominating and has no reason to jump quickly. developers are already getting cost concious and will be in no hurry to make expectations even higher any time soon. ms will probably want a short gen to hit the reset button but they can't do it without third party developers. launch too early and they will fail hard if third parties ignore the system or even just the hardware advantages. still, xbox will push the next gen as soon as they can gather support for new hardware.
6 years and i'm sticking to that.
nintendo doesn't count as they aren't part of the "industry" anyways and will forever be just doing their own thing off cycle to everyone else.
