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Doktor85 said:

Price drops are at the end of Q3 / beginning Q4

Q4 2008 PS3 drops €100
400-100=300 100/400           =25% increase of sales that stabilizes after boost. 

Q4 2009 PS3 drops €100
300-100=200 100/300           =33% increase of sales that stabilizes after boost. 

Q4 2010 PS3 drops €50
200-50=150    50/200             =25% increase of sales that stabilizes after boost. 

Q4 2011 PS3 drops €50
PS3 150-50= 100 50/150       =33% increase of sales that stabilizes after boost. 

Weekly
PS3  150.000 x 1,25 = 187.500 x 1,33= 249.375 x 1,25 = 311.719 x 1,33= 414.586

Right... because that's the way price drops work, each one causes an exponential increase in sales that never dissipates. Here's your predicted graph of PS3 sales:

If you really believe that the PS3 will be selling 400k units per week in 2011, I have some oceanfront property in Nebraska to sell you. And even under this ludicrous scenario, the PS3 still comes up 10m short of 100m, as Doktor85 demonstrates!

I think reading this thread is making me dumber.



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End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)