Some of you are NOT considering minimum expectations or understand what that means. Minimum is what is the worst thing that can happen to each console given what we know about the sale numbers.
The worst thing for PS3 is that it continues to sale at this pace and the Wii steals away its interest and weakens its holiday sales as well. Putting the PS3 at struggling to even reach 7 or 8 million for the year. Wii could have massive appeal as it has been with Nintendo raising production and sell about 20 million this year with the 360 selling around 18 million if MS issues a price drop. Looking at comparison's like this developers will definitely start to draw away support and then Sony in its state of reconstruction might decide to pull its video game segment, which has also been a danger through all of this. THAT is the worst case scenerio for Sony. Even 15 million in this scenario is generous but the rules state that the consoles will at least be around till holiday 2008.
What you guys are doing are trying to give some sort of light that sways in your consoles favor, giving your "actual" predictions for the generation in fear of what you might consider if you do what the topic asks, or are trying to be nice to these consoles in order to service the other console loyals on this board. I do like how the estimates seem to be reasonable as lower bounds. NO console should be above 60 million in their lowest estimations. PS2 took 5 years to even reach 80 million worldwide shipped and it blew the other consoles away. The only console on pace to do better than that is Wii and it is the only one doing things different enough to reach outside of the current amount of users with game systems. Compare 360, PS3, PS2 on the game charts. They are all on the same path because they appeal to the same consumer. Then compare Wii and DS. These are on similar sales paths but have MUCH higher potential than 360, PS3, or PS2, which means they are most likely going into a market not yet discovered and can have very unpredictable results.
