| Shissy said: 115 million max. Likely around 85-100m. |
I'd agree , 200 million is an absurd number.
The PS2 had around 75-80% of the games market and it only manged to sell 120-130 million units.
Key Points
*The novelty of the Wii's motion sensing controller won't carry it for 10 years.
*In about 3 years the Wii will be heavily dependant on 3rd party titles after Ninty have used their Mario and Zelda cards for this gen.
* If Microsoft and Sony get the motion sensing control right then that'll further cut the Wii's lifespan.
*The casual market is unpredicatble , they're always looking for the newest and most innovative thing , the Wii can't be that for the next 8 years.
* The Wii already looks dated even in comparison to PS3 , 360 launch titles , whats gonna happen @ the end of this generation , games can only be optimised for the Wii so much.
*If MS and Sony deside to release XBOX 720 and PS4 respectivley then it's basicly game over for the Wii , both are likely to have motion sensing implemented well or some other sort of Next gen control scheme , both will have georgeous HD graphics and both are likely to cost alot less.
The only way Nintnendo can continue selling is by releasing a Nintendo Wii 2 , and there's not alot of room for improvment , it doesn't need HD graphics (doing so will make it cost similar to PS4,720) , they can do a hard drive this gen , they can improve their online this gen. The only thing I could imagine would sell Wii 2 was another killer controller.
