Wii, 200 million lifetime?

[Lord N]

RolStoppable said:
The Wii will have a lifespan of at least 10 years and averaging 20m over this time makes 200m. It's basic maths, really.

The console most similar to the Wii is the NES. Both systems are/were responsible for a drastic change how gaming is/was perceived and how the games are/were played. The NES became the synonym of videogaming and still sold millions of units well after the successor was launched.

The NES had the longest lifespan of any system ever made, because due to its enormous popularity, games got still made until the mid '90s. The system launched in 1983 and production was officially discontinued in 2002, I think.

The Wii has an advantage that the NES didn't have. As HappySqurriel said, development for the Wii is much cheaper than for the HD systems and depending on how fast and how much 3rd parties will shift their resources, the Wii will get an insane amount of games. Many, many more than the NES ever had and more types of games than the PS2 had.

Of course I have to say all this, because of my signature. Lots of stuff will and must happen to make the 75 % marketshare reality (PS3 and 360 will most likely already be discontinued when the Wii hits that number).

 

Rol, the Wii is not going to sell 20 million units every single year until 2016.

Long before then, Sony and MS will have released new consoles, and if that doesn't do it, then the Wii's own successor cause its sales to fall.