Last Gen Sold 280m Consoles. How much will this gen sell? Predictions

[teigaga]

Ryng_Tolu said:

teigaga said:

30m is not "waaaaaaaaaaaaaay" more realistic then 50m, considering the most realistic figure is 40m :p

worse case scenario:

2015: 7m
2016: 8m
2017: 6m
2018: 4m
2019:2m

LT:38m

The Majority of the X1 sales come from US and that market isn't suddenly going to turn its back when the X1 is getting better in Q3/4 and PS4 arguably weaker, the worst case scenario is that the X1 never beat 2013 numbers. I don't see any potential for it to see a huge sudden drop, worst case is a slow decline but games will offset this. I don't know any system that has peaked before recieving its biggest games and the X1 hasn't recieved that yet.

The truly worst scenario:

2015: 7,000,000

2016: 6,000,000

2017: 3,500,000

2018: 1,500,000

Lifetime: 29,000,000

don't see what would warrant this especially the almost 50% drop in 2017.

So a $199-299 pricetag, Gears 4, Elderscrolls 7 and Grand Theft Auto 6 and ALL the other third party games aren't going to move hardware? Or is everyone in the states suddenly going to side with Playstation? I'll agree to disagree here