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  • Casuals are gone: approx. -80 millions.
  • Better quality (No RROD): approx. -10 millions.
  • Alternatives to mediaplayer existing: approx. -10 millions.
  • PC is realistic economical alternative: approx. -10 millions.
  • Shorter generation (less than seven years): approx. -10 millions.
  • Bigger market (China, South-America): approx. +10 millions.
  • End of console war (PS4 becomes the standard for may years): approx. +10 millions.
  • VR becomes a hit: approx. +10 millions.


Well that sums up to approx. 100 millions less than last gen.