What is the lowest realistic expectation for lifetime sales of Wii,PS3,360?

[HappySqurriel]

OriGin said:

I also think that Sony has a more broad appeal with their internal development process than Nintendo... I think the Wii will be ultra successful, but I think the PS3 can sell to almost similar levels as the PS2 eventually (maybe 100m or a little bit less).

The Wii will broaden the market and have it's own 'casual' 'simple' 'party' game monopoly with the Nintendo fanboy's as well as some others who simply like playing Nintendo games, PLUS people who own it as in the PSWii and Wii60 combinations.

I really doubt Sony's "Broad" apeal actually exists. If you look at this list you'll notice that only 2 of the top 25 games, 6 of the top 50 games, and 13 of the top 100 games are made by Sony.

The Playstation brand was built off of exclusive support from third party developers. At the rate it is selling the PS3 has (maybe) 12 months before exclusive support is gone for the platform and I don't see how it can sell (dramatically) better without a $200 to $300 price drop.