Parokki said:
_A_C_E_ said:
@Parokki
I would have to guess Scenario 2. Scenario 1 looks to have about a 10% chance of happening with Scenario 3 having about a 2% chance of happening. Not many third party devs are going to go exclusive for the Wii, especially when the 360 outsells the Wii easily in the software department, look at the attach rates, and then for Wii's attach rate look at how many games are made by Nintendo, I wouldn't want to jump into that 'exclusively' if I was a third party dev but I would most definitely make all my games that I could multi-platform. |
You're forgetting a few things here.
First of all, the Wii is moving more software in absolute terms. Weekly sales on the worldwide page are almost twice as much as on the 360, and slightly greater even in the US. Attach rate doesn't really matter when the difference in user base is so big, and the 360 having been on the market for so much longer is screwing with the statistics.
Secondly, making a game on the Wii costs less than half of what it does on the HD consoles. The titles currently going neck-to-neck with the 360 and blazing past everything on the PS3 are comparatively low budget works by second rate dev teams. Imagine what the situation will look like when publishers start putting their best teams on the Wii, and giving them a serious budget. So far Tecmo is doing it with Fatal Frame 4, and Capcom with Monster Hunter 3, but that's only the beginning.
Stuff explaining the supposed lack of quality third party games was supposed to go here, but I'm too tired to type it for the twentieth time this late at night, and getting kind of pissed off for nobody remembering it. I'm sure you'll be able to figure it out by yourself, though.
I don't think it's unrealistic in the least to say most publishers will end up with the Wii as their primary, if not sole, platform. That's where the money, as well as the possibility to do something truly different is. |
Yeah I see what you mean but it still would not make sense to drop multi-platform success and just go to Wii. Most multi-platform games sell better on 360, look at madden being the biggest one, you got NFS, NHL and all the big hitters selling more on the 360.
