| _A_C_E_ said: @Parokki I would have to guess Scenario 2. Scenario 1 looks to have about a 10% chance of happening with Scenario 3 having about a 2% chance of happening. Not many third party devs are going to go exclusive for the Wii, especially when the 360 outsells the Wii easily in the software department, look at the attach rates, and then for Wii's attach rate look at how many games are made by Nintendo, I wouldn't want to jump into that 'exclusively' if I was a third party dev but I would most definitely make all my games that I could multi-platform. |
Wii's library of worthy games to attach (based on metacritic with a score of 75 or higher): 32
360's library: 151
So, there is 4.7 times as many games for the 360 as the wii that are worth counting toward the attach rate. Considering how close they are (sounds like you are looking at last years numbers pre holiday, not recently released numbers), then the wii is actually doing very well for attach rate. They have to make the games before people will buy them. If you multiply the wii's attach rate by 4.7, then it is killing the 360.
Another way to look at it... take the number of good games in the library and divide by attach rate and call it X. That is 1 in X games produced for the system sells. You will find the wii is doing much better for publishers when you consider the amount (or lack of) effort they put into making games for the wii.
