What is the lowest realistic expectation for lifetime sales of Wii,PS3,360?

[CrazzyMan]

ItsaMii said:
Hey CrazzyMan that looks like the prediction for best scenario.

it`s not the best, it`s lowest and realistic prediction. =)
100 mln. is lowest and realistic. :) Not the worst realistic.

HappySqurriel said:

CrazzyMan said:
well, ok, my predictions. =)

ps3 - over 100 mln., with amazing games like MGS4, FFXIII, GT5, KZ2, GoW3 and many many others + with games for everyone, LBP, warhawk, pain, flow, afrika, and many other inovations, and with price around 250-300$. People will be sold.

wii - over 100 mln., wii for 99$ will be just impulsive purchase for MANY people, which don`t play console games, but Wii will be fun for Party, that`s why it will sell good.

x360 - 40-60 mln., very depends how will people react on 199$ for core. Then again, if M$ will have more exclusive titles like Mass effect, Too human, Fable 2 and they won`t go to pc, then x360 could be a success. Probably some day they will make stop to fail x360, but it may be too late, that`s why 40 or 60. However, 200$ for premium is a sweet spot, just for those, who want try a little HD. Though, if difference between x360 and ps3 will be only 100$, then most people will buy ps3.

I'm sorry, there is no way that is your "Lowest realistic expectations for lifetime sales"

Essentially you're saying that there is no way that less that 250,000,000 consoles will be sold in this generation; the worst case scenerio for the PS3 would be that games like MGS4 and FFXIII were ported to the XBox 360 (or became XBox 360 exclusives), Killzone 2 was as bad or worse that Killzone, God of War 3 is delayed for several years, and most people were not interested in the other games.

MGS4 and FFXIII are NOT POSSIBLE on x360, that`s why they won`t be ported. Killzone 2 in worst case will look like a MULTIPLATFORM game HAZE. Killzone will be good, because killzone on psp with little budget is good, so on PS3 with over 40 mln. euros budget and more then 120 developers will be even better.

Wii for 99$ it`s like tamagochi, tetris, twister, it will be massive popular enertainment system for party games. Not for gamers, but for parties. =)

PS3 for 249$ with CG graphics, in some 2010-2011 will be must have for every true gamer, not only because FFXIII, FFXIIIv but also Team Ico games, that`s why everyone will have ps3. And that is the worst realistic scenario. Best scenario - over 150-200 mln. because, now PS3 games won`t look like games, they will look like CG moovies, thats why many NEW people will buy it.