Cognitive dissonance: Wii U won't reach 25 million, but PS3 will reach Wii lifetime.

[sc94597]

Materia-Blade said:

sc94597 said:

Yet it also says that Nintendo consoles tend to peak around their second (Gamecube) or third year (most of their other consoles.) With a Nintendo home console likely releasing in late 2017 it is unlikely that the Wii U will have longevity to make up for its very likely decline in sales. If it maintained the sales of this year (which will probably be something like 4.5 million at most - it will take three and a half years to reach its goal.) That is IF it maintained 2015 sales and 2015 sales are at their upper-end. 

If you underestimate wii u, sure. remember it still didn't get a proper price cut. It can sell much more than 4.5m a year.

The gamecube had a many price-cuts, and very fast. The console was at $99 half way in its life. It didn't help the Gamecube. I expect the Wii U to be anywhere between 18 - 22 million.