Cognitive dissonance: Wii U won't reach 25 million, but PS3 will reach Wii lifetime.

[sc94597]

BraLoD said:

sc94597 said:

Well the Wii U has the advantage of not being as saturated in the standard markets (Wii U is experiencing YoY growth for 2015, while the PS3 is experiencing YoY decline for 2015), and like the PS3, has opportunities for many more price-cuts. Plus it's not a 10 year old console.  I don't think it will reach 25 million, but the same arguments you have for the PS3 having a chance also apply to Wii U. They both are selling at almost the same numbers right now, and they both have the same gap to close to reach these objectives. The Wii U's sales are increasing (for how long - we don't know), while the PS3's are decreasing. So unless you think the PS3 will live significantly longer than the Wii U and also maintain its current sales level for four more years, at least, it's just as improbable. 

That's the point, the PS3 even as old as it is still seems like will die after the Wii U.

The Wii U simply doesn't have the appeal to survive after the next system arives, what can be even next year (2017 most likely), while the PS3 can still be a good machibe to people with less money willing to get one. Don't be surprised if the PS3 actually sells more than the Wii U this year and/or the next. It probably did last year already, as VGChartz was constantly having it over it actual shipments if I recall it right, and with the PS4 beasting and preventing significant exclusive games to it while the Wii U had two of its most heavy hitters with MK and SSB.

The thing is: why would people buy the PS3 in 2018 when they can likely spend not so much  more and get a PS4 (by then the PS4 should be like $200 - $250 and the PS3 like $100-150 depending on model) and the PS5 will likely be coming within a year after that? I just don't see it selling 3.5 million. The Wii U should sell similar to the PS3 at least a year after the next Nintendo console releases (maybe something like a million), as it will be at the ripe price of $150 and people will buy it for the few exclusives they want on it. It isn't like the Wii in that there are 100 million around so playing the few good exclusives you want to is a piece of cake because somebody in your list of family and friends has one you can borrow. The only thing that would kill the Wii U at that point is Nintendo. 

I just don't see the PS3 dieing much longer after the Wii U, and I see its sales declining much faster as they have been since the PS4's release.