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I think some people are underestimating the sales for this game in Japan.
Squids are quite popular in Japan in video games, anime (as well as other types of anime *ahem*) and other categories of their pop culture.

Third Person shooters also tend to be more popular in Japan in comparison to 1st person.

My estimate for first week:

US 150k
EU 100k
JP 120k
WW 425k