DFC: Will Sony, Microsoft remain relevant in games by 2019? (85% of the Market Digital?)

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JayWood2010 said:

Research firm sees PC and mobile grabbing larger and larger share of the expected $100 billion pie

He continued, "There are also the unrealistic expectations both companies set for their investors. Prior to the new generation launch there was speculation among some manufacturers and analysts that the market for this new generation could be as large as one billion units worldwide. We always thought success would be 250 million units combined for a given generation but now we don't see this generation doing that many. The PlayStation 4 could get over 100 million but the Xbox One will probably not reach that level. So clearly expectations were not set in line with reality."

http://www.gamesindustry.biz/articles/2015-04-16-dfc-will-sony-microsoft-remain-relevant-in-games-by-2019

Bullshit. Only Microsoft was fool enough to predcit that, and that's because they thought a whole bunch of non-gamers would by a $500 machine to be able to watch TV and control it with Kinect. Sony and Nintendo were never stupid enough to think the console market could be worth 1 billion unit sales in a generation. 1 billion units means a game console in nearly every house in the developed world an a lot of houses in the developing world> It was never going to happen and it was deluded speculation from the Greenbergs and Mattricks of Microsoft's little world of fairy dust and magic rainbows.

As to the over all analysis that console unit sales would fall well short of 250 million, HELLO! plenty of us were saying it 18 months ago. These guys are real geniuses figuring this out only now. But that also doesn't mean consoles are doomed. The 6th gen was considered to be a very successful generation, and it's total console sales only just broke through 200 million, but it required PS2 to hold on for several years after the 7th gen started. I would be concerned if this gen ended with less than 150 million, but I don't think that will happen.