People are underestimating the Xbox One (estimate thread as well).

[Eddie_Raja]

super6646 said:

Now I do go to these sale threads sometimes and look at people's estimates. I usually see around 100-120 million for the PS4, and I fully agree with that. Wii U is around 15-25 million and that seems good as well. But I look at the XB1, and I generally see 30-50 million. Now that's what I have to disagree with. The XB1 did around 8 million in its first year, which is not bad but meh. Anyway this year we have a lower price and Halo 5. I can estimate we can do around 10 million in 2015. Now people can think its a bit much, but really the PS4 should be ahead, but I think the XB1 can still do over 10 million. Also we have Halo 5 which SHOULD move consoles. Even if "most" Halo player's already have gotten the console, we should see a modest boost. Then we have 2016, and I'm predicting a slim Xbox One and a price cut to 249$. I'm almost certain this'll be the Xbox One's peak year. And I estimate it could push around 14 million. Then I see 2017 have a modest drop off to around 12 million. Now 2017 could peak 2016 but its unlikely, as I see this point at which many of the people who want the console already have it. Then I see 2018 drop a bit more to 10.5 million, but it should hold thanks to a new Halo (that's when I'm predicting a new Halo). Then 2019, with the release of the next gen systems, I can see around 8.5 million. That's a grand total of 62 million, plus of course the console still sells after the gen is over, and the other 8 million can come from there. That's a grand total of 70 million. If the gen is a bit shorter, I think it can still do but it'll be harder. Tell me what you think about this, and I'll be putting this in my sig to either be a show off or be a complete fool at the end of the gen. 

I estimate 30-40 million because it seems fairly obvious to me that the Xbox One will saturate its markets far faster than Playstation will.  

-Japan rejected the X1 completely, and the PS4 only needs Japanese games to start selling well there.  It is already picking up steam there now that a few good ones are out.

-Europe is more of a PS stronghold than it ever was before, and it always was one.  There is room for the X1 to grow a little in the UK but really there is no point in getting one there anymore with how rediculously it is priced.

-In the US the X1 may sell alright but it is becoming clear that Sony is gaining ground, not losing it in the US.

-PS is just in way more markets for better prices.

 

On top of all of these points keep in mind that the PS4's architecture is just flat out more future-proof and so we can probably expect better support long-term.

Last, the PS4 IS STILL $400 and it is cheaper to produce.  Whenever Sony wants to they can just drop the axe on MS by dropping the price down to $299.