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I'm not too confident. Last year they showed off titles that are coming either next year or even later like Scalebound, Quantum Break, Crackdown, Phantom Dust. I guess they will show those again with gameplay footage this time around.

I expect only 2 new AAA games to be announced: new Rare game and Gears 4.

So that would make MS E3 look like this:

Halo 5

Forza 6

Quantum Break

Tomb Raider

Scalebound

Crackdown

Gears 4

Phantom Dust (maybe too early now with the new studio?)

Rare game

+ indie games