Why do people say the Ps3 will outsell Xbox360?

[DMeisterJ]

gebx said:

masterb8tr said:
If it coninues like these(based on charts from april 5th) the ps3 will catch up in 63 weeks.

186 000/(11.6 *10^6)= 0.015(ps3)

134000/(18.1*10^6)=0.0075(360)

1.015^x*11.6*10^6=1.0075^x*18.1*10^6

(1.015^x)/(1.0075^x)=(18.1*10^6)/(11.6*10^6)

1.0079^x=1.56034

(log 1.56034)/(log 1.0079)=63-64 weeks


In europe 19 weeks:


100 000/5.2mill=.02(ps3)

66 000/6.2mill=.01(360)

5.1mil*1.02^x=6.2*1.01^x

1.02/1.01= 1.0099=1.01^x

6.2/5.1=1.21

log 1.21/log 1.01= 19 weeks

You're using a wrecking ball to hit a nail in a two by four...  this is simple math

PS3 is outselling the 360 by 52,000 units/week so it will take 123 weeks for the PS3 to catch up to the 6.4 million consoles its behind... NOT 66

You are also using a wrecking ball to hit a nail in a 2 X 4

Your math only works provided that the PS3 only ever outsells it by that much, for a sustained amount, for that period of time, negating big releases, holidays, price-drops, etc.