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at this early stage i would say that Hillary has an edge, but it is absolutely possible for a Republican win. it all depends of course on who the candidate is, how they conduct their campaign and similarly how Hillary conducts her campaign.

i personally think the most electable choice for the Republicans is Rubio. i think he has a good mix of personal image (which like it or not has been a critical part of any presidential campaign since JFK) and policy.  unfortunately the fact that Jeb is around makes Rubio's campaign 1000x harder.

of the current Republican announcers: Even if Cruz wins the nomination i think he will be doomed to failure in a general election because his strategy is literally designed to be divisive and alienating. not what you want when you're trying to bring a country together to vote for you.

Rand i like very much, but i don't think he's going to secure a nomination unless he just comes out swinging and blows everyone away in the primary season. he's too "odd" for the Republican establishment (aka money) to back. i can't say for sure how he would do in the general against Hillary. it would all depend on whether his strategy of courting young and minorities with his outside-the-Republican-box policies would work. i personally think they could, but who knows for sure.