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Forget that actually, here is the whole thing instead:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ozisMKGGkB8



Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

Bet with WagnerPaiva:

 

I win if Emmanuel Macron wins the french presidential election May 7th 2017.