| Christopher_G2 said: It is very hard to predict how things will go. I wish more people would just say this. We can make reasonable predictions maybe what happens between now and year's end. But going through 2008, 2009 and beyond there are things like the format wars (Blue Ray vs HDTV), price cuts, HD penetration, and game lineup that none of us can conprehend fully. When people say they think the Wii can't sell less than 80 million or that the PS3 won't get past 30 million or some crap I just have to awe in their ignorance. How they hell do they know? Going by early trends we know is a crap way to predict ultimate winners and losers, just look at DS vs PSP or PS1 vs N64.
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You are right that we only can predict what happens until year's end and maybe a little more, but this is what DECIDES the console race. When all consoles are out for 1.5/2 years, sales trends will be very clear and there is almost no possibility to change them anymore, because by that time, one console will be the winner and therefore be supported by a lot of developers and only grow it's userbase.
Of course this generation is a little different, because at least one console will find it's niche and sell quite good (much like the PSP, for example). but just like nobody believes that the PSP will ever take the lead from the DS, nobody will believe that the 360 takes back the lead from the Wii (or the other way around) in mid 2008.
