What is the lowest realistic expectation for lifetime sales of Wii,PS3,360?

[El Duderino]

kber81 said:

El Duderino said:

@ kber: if you think Sony can sell 70 Mil if everything and I mean EVERYTHING goes wrong what will they sell if everything goes right ??? 200 Mil, I know it can have a long livetime but 70 Mil is really high for a WORST case scenarion, 50 Mil, ok but even the N64 only soled 60something Mil. and it was far from beeing a worst case scenario, but thats ok, who knows maybe I just don´t give the Playstation brand the respect it deserves

Hmm, I believe this generation will be the longest so far (10 years or more) so my number is pretty high. 6-7 million a year... More than 120 million if everything goes right. I think PS3 will be cheaper than $300 for most of its life.

you may be right with your 10 prediction, but I find it very hard to tell by now, fact is that the loser(s) decide when the Next-Gen comes, if nobody feels like a loser it might take longer than any other generation before it, but the longer it takes the more likely it will be that somebodys sales got down, it´s allways been that way and even though this is a different Gen I don´t see a tie situation holding for very long, the question is will the first loser give up or put a new machine on the market, if and only if the PS3 can still fight a new machine for longer than two years it can have a 10 year livetime, my gut feeling sayes chances are slim to none for this to happen but I´ve been wrong before, or have I ???

@Parokki: sorry