What is the lowest realistic expectation for lifetime sales of Wii,PS3,360?

[jlauro]

Desroko said:

jlauro said:
Note: These numbers assume hardware revs, such as PS2 to PS2 slim are counted together. I also expect the market size to grow significantly, to at least 300 Mil.

Seems a little high. If I had to do a mid-level prediction, 200 mil would probably be my bet. Near 100% growth, while pretty cool, seems like too much to hope for.

Maybe, but... that number wasn't worst case...  I am expecting a higer % of people with 2 or 3 consoles from this generation of current video game users. Also, expanded audiance range increasing average age of consumer, a much higher increase in sales to females, and more countries. A big boost from China by the end of the generation alone could really increase WW numbers.