| Shadow1980 said:
So, that's why my (very rough) projections for future PS4 sales hinge entirely on its price cuts. Assuming the PS4 gets a cut to $300 this year, the boost from that alone will likely be sufficient to propel 2015 to be the best year for the system. Meanwhile, Uncharted, TLOU2 (if it happens), and GT7 are unlikely to provide sufficient boosts to have a measurable effect in year-to-year sales. Price cuts matter far more than individual software releases when it comes to providing boosts to sales. |
But what about the future price cuts? Imagine when the PS4 will be at 199$ in 2017-18 with UC4 and TLOU2 bundle for instance.
In previous gen we can see that both PS3 and X360 got their best year their 6th or 7th year. But you think PS4 will reach its peak year the 3rd year only even when we know that those consoles have a great potential for future price cuts?
All points to the fact that 2016 will really be the year of PS4 will its major exclusives released this year combined with a price cut. Think about it. PS4 maybe will have a price cut for end of year but the console is still selling at 399$ for most of the year (even if bundled), and without UC, GT or TLOU2.
In summary I find you analysis pretty much wrong on pretty much everything, at the very least wrong on the most important points.
But your graphs are great! ;)
