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shikamaru317 said:
SoulFarmer said:
 

I am talking his predictions for x1 not the games..... Witcher 3 wont seell near 1.5 mill on x1, will sell more on ps4, and the install base is not that high.

I think you may be underestimating Witcher 3, the game itself is looking like it might even double Witcher 2's lifetime sales accross all 3 platforms. Witcher 2 sold 820k (more with digital included) on 360 despite barely getting any advertising and releasing a year after the PC version. On the other hand MS has marketing rights for Witcher 3, and are known for having big ad campaigns for many games that they get marketing rights to. They might even bundle Witcher 3, if they do, many of the Xbox One's sold between May and September (when Halo 5 might be bundled) will include a copy of Witcher 3.

As for Xbox One's sales this year, I think it will finish out 2015 over 20m, hard to say how much over, it depends on what is announced at E3 and what bundles MS has throughout the year. Just don't forget that 2015 is a Halo year, and Halo is a system seller. If MS is smart and has a $300 Halo bundle this Holiday season Xbox One will sell very well.

MS having advertising rights means very little. They had advertising rights to CoD, and Evolve and they still sold tons more o PS4.

And those were shooters, which XB owners love, RPGs aren't as popular with that installbase, I can guarantee that Witcher 3 will sell atleast 3 times as much on PS4 compared to XB1.