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CosmicSex on 25 March 2015
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GribbleGrunger said:
CosmicSex said:


Right but thats impossible because the sum of the sale of two consoles can't be lower than the best selling.  So its combined total must be 50 or lower.

That's assuming that both SKUs amount to MORE than there would be if there was only one. That's why I feel it's the safest bet for now. I also think it's worth considering what I said earlier on but was overlooked:

I'm wondering (if we did it long enough) could we possibly see a correlation between the position of the console in the top 100 and an average expected number of sales? I'll just pull something out of my ass to show what I mean because I'm useless at maths:

100: or less: 100k or less
50: 200k - 300k
10: 300k - 400k
05: 400k or more

It might be worth thinking about in my opinion. We'd obviously have to rethink those averages for the Christmas period. We'd also have to take every month's data and work out an average position for that one month. I'm not sure if just taking the months data would work because I think for this to work we'd have to have a daily update on the average simply because of stock being either lower or higher some days. The monthly would only really give us who won the month and the postion at the end of the month wouldn't necessarily reflect how many units could possibly have sold each day, if you get what I mean.

If the postions of JUST today are to be an indication of whether this is worth it then March NPD would be:

WiiU: less than 100k
XB1: around 250k (akthough 2 SKUs would probably put it nearer 300k)
PS4: around 400k

Yes I do think thst we could find a correlation.  I will check it out.  All we have to do is take the NPD data and use the Amazon archives. We may be able to figure out the greatest mystery of all time: The PSN cards lol.

 

Anyway I have to back you up for a second.   I said that the total of 2 SKUs in your example could be 50 at the most and probably would rank lower.

 

You said "That's assuming that both SKUs amount would be more than one SKU by itself". Thats complete nonsense (pardom me) because in a objective reality,  the sales of both is higher or equal to the sales of Ass Creed bundle by itself right now.