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sc94597 on 24 March 2015
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Kerotan said:
uran10 said:


Okay first of all, you have no proof it would sell better on ps4, second of all IN JAPAN Wii U  has a higher install base which means more sales. So sorry but how is it going to sell "way" more when it has less of a market to go to over there?


Ps3 currently sells more than Wii u over there.  Ps4 is dominating it and it will easily pass out the Wii U next year.  WW it's not even a contest.  Ps4 is the obvious console of choice and it won't be getting replaced next year or the year after.  

Remember the PS4's current sales are boosted because of a few Japanese releases. Expect them to go back down to 20k weekly, which is certainly not "dominating" the Wii U. Wii U sold 2,226,088 by Feb 22, PS4 sold 1,112,924 by Feb 22. If the Wii u were to stop selling in Japan right now, and the PS4 continues its average sales of 22k/week, it will take it (2,226,088 - 1,112,924)/22,000 = 50 weeks to catch up to the Wii U. However, the Wii U averages about 15 - 18k /week (including the holidays.) Let's also assume the PS4 boosts its average to 30 - 35k/week. That means in those 50 weeks the Wii U will gain 900k Japanese sales and the PS4 will gain 1,750,000, as the upper limit. This scenario is beneficial for the PS4 because the more sales it has the quicker it can close the gap. With this high end estimate the PS4 will be at 2,906,294 and the Wii U at 3,126,088. Still a difference of about 200k in early Feb 2016. 

Reallistically the Wii U will probably sell something like 500k and PS4 somewhere around 900k in said period. Making their lifetime sales (at that point in time) somewhere around: 2.72 mil and 2 mil, respectively. I don't expect the PS4 to pass the Wii U in Japan until May/June 2016. By then the unified Nintendo platform should be announced and Japanese developers/publishers will look in that direction for their games. The best I think the PS4 can hope for is an MH4 port along the lines of MH3U, but even then Capcom has funding deals with Nintendo and likely will just stick to where their games are selling (Nintendo handhelds.) Monster Hunter has consistently showed itself to be more handheld friendly, despite having fully console releases that benefit the experience.