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Materia-Blade on 20 March 2015
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zorg1000 said:
DanneSandin said:

Yes, but how many of them double dipped? And how many times? There isn't 51m 3DS USERS out there. There is 51m 3DS's SOLD, but not users. I also imagine that most Wii U owners also have a 3DS. That means that if the Fusion sells 80m handhelds and home consoles, there's quite a large number that will have both, and while this practice will inflate the HW numbers, it won't do the same for SW numbers.

Nintendo doesn't care if the same people buy multiple versions of their hardware, they just care that the hardware is selling. How many Wii U owners have a 3DS, 100%? 50%? 25%? Who knows, but at the same time, as long as each device isn't overpriced and have some exclusive features than Nintendo can probably get their dedicated fans to buy both a handheld and console.

Nintendo doesn't really have a problem selling software, here are some reasonable estimates for their big franchises this generation.

Mario Kart-20 million (MK7-13m, MK8-7m)

Pokémon X/Y-15 million, Pokemon OR/AS-10+ million

2D Mario-17 million (NSMB2-11m, NSMBU-6m)

3D Mario-17 million (3D Land-12m, 3D World-5m)

Smash Bros-15 million (3DS-9m, Wii U-6m)

Obviously since there is an overlap between 3DS & Wii U owners, the total amount isn't necessarily how much a single title would sell if on both devices, so Mario Kart NX might sell 16-17 million instead of 20m but that can be cancelled out by the reduction in development costs by not having to make 2 seperate games and by having a large userbase to sell DLC to.

Then u have to consider certain games would have an increase of on both. Tropical Freeze, for example is just over 1 million and might leg it out to 1.5-2m, if it had the 3DS userbase to sell to as well than it would likely be a 5 million seller. Animal Crossing on 3DS is like 8.5 million and Luigi's Mansion about 4 million, if they were also on Wii U than they would be 10 million and 5 million sellers by now.

You are underestimating mario kart 8 sales and overestimating what a single mario kart would sell on the imaginary NX. And what game could they develop with the extra time that is capable of filling that multimillion gap?