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Not the best launch line-up for PS4, it depends on the amount of stock Sony has available for launch, if there's 200K available then I think they'll sell in the launch week, maybe launch day.
think 200K was what Sony was allowed to ship to China by the government, we'll see if that's changed, if MS were allowed more than 100K for launch Sony should b allowed the same and they should at least sell that many units at launch.

Vita wise it's cheaper, seems to have a better line-up, should sell pretty well IMO.