| Barkley said: It's current peak year is 2014, if it sold that same amount in 2015,2016 and 2017 it'd finish at almost exactly 20 million. It won't sell that many in 2017 if it's successor is coming out, but I also expect 2015 to be the WiiU's peak not 2014. |
This is why I still believe that 20m is the lowest it can sell,you are very logical...
I agree that 2015 will be the peak year,more constant game releases(sharp drop prevention at least) and a momentum from mario kart 8 and smash bros(A game release doesn't help only near after its release and just in the year of its release)it can definetely do 4m this year,it's not so hard to go from the 3.5m of 2014 to 4m in 2015(It's neither irrational nor overestimating)although with a price cut of 50$ it can sell more...
Also wii u had a bad first semester in 2014(pre-mario kart 8 time interval)...Wii u currently outnumbers considerably the first two months of the first semester of 2014....
The problem is the down yoy of Japan but the west counterbalances and outdo quite a lot this deficit,nintendo have some aces up on the sleeve for Japan but Japanese care for great deals(A bundle which by buying it you save a lot money) not so much for game releases,in 2014 unfortunately there wasn't any great deals like in 2013 for wii u in Japan...
Na is very important for nintendo,in this place is the huge gap with gc and must do something for that but the gap happens just because gc had two big consecutive price cuts in its first two years...In Japan and Europe the gap isn't big,despite gc's very lower price lead....
Anyway,still the secret weapon are the price cuts...
If doesn't sell 20m+ without price cuts(pessimistic scenario),it will sureley do it with price cuts...
