When PS4 will pass 30 million sold?

[aLkaLiNE]

Chazore said:

MikePlanor said:

Again, thats ridiculous, ps4 would have to sell bad for it to take until dec, not realistic.

Whether or not you think it is ridiculous is irrelevant to me, in case you haven't noticed decades if not centuries worth of data, December is the one time of year where people spend the most money than any other holiday, the PS4 is bound to sell more in the month of Christmas where they will not only be bought by thise who haven't owned one by then but also given as gifts, that's double the units sold to non gift month holidays.

I don't care about fake stats data, I go with the time of the year where people spend the most money, consoles/eletronics are no different.

I'm not gonna attack your prediction, because anything really is possible.

 

But I do think December is a unlikely and a little late in the game - For instance, in 2014, on March 1st the PS4 was around 6.1 million units sold.  It took until roughly the first week of December to sell an additional 10 million. Extrapolate those parameters to what we have here - March 1st 2015, 20.2 million. We wamt to predict how long it will take to sell another 10 million.

 

Variables that will accelerate or decelerate sales:

- PSVue launch

- Chinese launch

- First official price cut

- Uncharted 4

- Various exclusives released through remained of year

- E3 hit or miss

 

To me, these variables suggest that we'll see more sales in 2015, not less. That's why hitting 30 million in December and not before is unlikely.  The price cut alone will accelerate scales like a turbocharger, that much i'm confident in.  If Sony announces a $100 price cut, we are realistically looking at "SOLD OUT" everywhere in the states, at least.