What do people mean "if" Blu-Ray wins the format war "tomorrow"? It won the format war the second PS3 launched and it took an install base lead over HD-DVD. Now Wal-Mart and BlockBuster are putting their weight behind Blu-Ray. Its not helping the PS3.
Anyways...
As of their last fiscal report, Nintendo are aiming for 20 million Wiis shipped through next March. So Wii will pass GC in June at the latest. Probably by March.
And the way 360 sales are slowing down, its going to take awhile. They need a price cut just to get back to XBox-level sales, and then all they have that XBox didn't have is GTA. 2010 at the latest, but probably sometime in 2009.
"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."
Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.
