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JustBeingReal said:
Materia-Blade said:

Wii U's decline is lo little that any increase will make it go up yoy. And ps4 didn't have a great first year, it was terrible, with sales bellow ps3.

Keeping the current pace of 20k weekly (wich is improbable, it's more likely to go down), it will take untill the end of april to match the first week of sales (300k). after that, it would reach 800k for the year at the end of october and maybe get another 400k on november+ december. that's 1.2 millino for the year and 2.2 million ltd by the end of 2015 IF sales keep up. you are the one predicting 100% more at minimum, without giving any logical reason.


What are you talking about? PS4 destroyed Wii U's sales in Japan last year, it's only behind PS3's first year because it had no big releases suited for the market, considering 2015's line-up of games is massively bigger it will most definitely have a huge sales increase in Japan.

Wii U's 1st year isn't much better than PS4's, it's 1.1 vs 1.2 and Wii U had bigger games, PS4 hadn't nothing big, yet it still came close to Wii U's 1st year numbers.

 

I gave a bunch of logical reasons for why PS4's sales will increase that much, Dragon Quest Heroes being one, that game's enormous over there, Metal Gear is another, PS4 will be the only home console that matters when those games come out over there, you ignoring logic doesn't make for an absence of logic.

Don't forget the games I listed coming within your timespan, Bloodborne, Dragon Ball, Dynasty Warriors, Resident Evil Revelations 2, Final Fantasy Type O, Bladestorm, they're all coming out by the end of that 57 week timespan you gave, if you think they'll have no effect in Japan you're sorely mistaken.

Lack of games in 2014 in Japan=1.1M sales for PS4, actual big comes coming to Japan in 2015=big sales improvement, 2X2014 easy, likely well beyond that.

 

What's coming for Wii U this year that will cause some huge sales boost this year? There's nothing as big as Smash or MK8 coming out this year on Wii U in Japan, those were 2014 games.

Ps4 sales didn't destroy anything last year and are quite behind wii u in aligned numbers, as I said multiple times.

Dragon quest is enourmoes, dragon quest heroes isn't. It will give a quick boost and that's that.

You are still ignoring that ps4 sold 320k in it's first week, meaning it only sold 700k for the rest of 2014. Right now it hasn't even reached the 320k of launch week when aligning yoy sales. It can certainly end UP yoy but not much.

As for wii u, there is smash and mario kart already out, wich has impact especially on holidays. releases include mario party, xenoblade, yoshi, zelda, star fox, splatoon, rodea, possibly animal crossing... many of those games are guaranteed to sell several hundred thousands while others are debatable, but so are most of the games you listed for ps4. People may also be waiting for the xenoblade bundle, wich is causing a temporary decrease in the weekly numbers.