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ICStats said:
PDF said:
US will see healthy growth for at least the next couple years. It will be a good time for the stock market.

US economy is improving, but US stock valuatios are broadly high.  I'm not expecting much upside from here; a correction is needed in some segments to allow upside in others.

Over the longer 10 year term there is a lot of pressure against US equity markets due to retiring baby boomers taking money out of risky assets.  A recent FED research article says there's a good chance average P/E will head to ~8 by 2025.  This compared to average P/E of over 17 now, spells a coming "lost decade" in US stock market: http://thefelderreport.com/2014/12/30/the-most-bearish-bear-youll-find-anywhere-the-fed/

I hadn't ever really considered that, but it's a very good point.

Though at the same time, the mass exit of the baby boomers from the labor force should help tighten up the labor force, which would see new employees starting to put money *into* said accounts, although the replacement rate will be slower.



Monster Hunter: pissing me off since 2010.