So you're essentially saying it's going to be less than 32 million LTD by 2016. I don't think anyone predicted that low in Seece's thread. Could it happen? I guess it's possible. Will it though? I doubt it. Just because the XBO is more competitively priced doesn't necessarily mean the PS4 will lose sales because of that. Many people said that the PS4 was selling based on hype since the XBO clearly had better exclusives. I find it hard to believe that when it finally does get the exclusive software to justify its purchase it sales would suddenly go down. Also, I expect a price cut this year which will obviously help sales.
Also, the PS4 being down YOY in its second year isn't a good sign for the industry in general. So I hope it doesn't happen for that reason as well.