I think it will reach the 100m with no problem, why?
Well, let's do a little matemathical exercise to find out:
The 7th generation,when everything is said and done, will end up making around 270m (it will be more but lets just leave at that)
Now, let's suppose that this generation will see a reduction of 20% of the total install base. That would leave the 8th generation near the 215m. Now let's suppose that 25m of that amount will go to the Wii U (just for the sake of argument). That would leave 190m to be divided between the PS4 and the X1.
Now (again, just for the sake of argument) lets suppose that the market share between these two will be 55/45%. That would leave the PS4 with 104m and the X1 with 86m.
So to summarize, yes, I think it will reach the 100m.
Note: I played it safe with this numbers since 1) I'm having a hard time seeing the Wii U reaching 25m 2) I'm having a hard time seeing the X1 reaching 86m and 3) I have my doubts about the market shrinking 20% this generation.
