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binary solo said:
Puppyroach said:
Seeing as how it has started to track behind PS2 already, its clear it will not come anywhere near those amazing levels. It will not have a year at 20mn+ levels and it will drop of all faster than Gen 6 or 7. I've said it before: 80-90mn is possible.

Thgat's a bold claim. Generally speaking the peak year for a console is year 3 or 4.

DS peak year was year 4

PSP peak year was year 4

Wii Peak year was year 2

PS3 peak year was year 5

360 peak year was year 6

Average peak year for gen 7 was year 4.

Wii did 16 million in year 1 and peaked at 24 million in year 2 and did 21 million in year 3. PS4 did 14 million in year 1 (87.5% of Wii) if it manages a similar ratio for years 2 and 3 (though with a peak in year 3 rather than year 2) that means ~39 million across years 2 and 3 with year 2 probably being about 18 million and year 3 being about 21 million. One year above 20 million is very likely.

yeah agree with u, and also depend on how big the sales on their peak year. What i can see from previous gen, PS3 and 360 can achive high peak by releasing more product such slim version, new service ( PS +, movie application, etc), and game (exclusive). Offcourse it depend how the company able to support the product by using the momentum left by earlier sales (launched sales).