Puppyroach said: Seeing as how it has started to track behind PS2 already, its clear it will not come anywhere near those amazing levels. It will not have a year at 20mn+ levels and it will drop of all faster than Gen 6 or 7. I've said it before: 80-90mn is possible. |
Thgat's a bold claim. Generally speaking the peak year for a console is year 3 or 4.
DS peak year was year 4
PSP peak year was year 4
Wii Peak year was year 2
PS3 peak year was year 5
360 peak year was year 6
Average peak year for gen 7 was year 4.
Wii did 16 million in year 1 and peaked at 24 million in year 2 and did 21 million in year 3. PS4 did 14 million in year 1 (87.5% of Wii) if it manages a similar ratio for years 2 and 3 (though with a peak in year 3 rather than year 2) that means ~39 million across years 2 and 3 with year 2 probably being about 18 million and year 3 being about 21 million. One year above 20 million is very likely.
“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell
"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."
Jimi Hendrix