January 2015 NPD Thread! Hardware estimates up!

[binary solo]

poklane said:

 

January 2015 NPD: PS4 outsells Xbox One as Dying Light tops software chart

.S.

Xbox One, PlayStation 4, and Warner Bros. Interactive’s zombie-survival game Dying Light pushed total game sales to $625.7 million in January. That’s down 5 percent from $662.1 million in 2014. While software sales were up hardware was down big time from $239.6 million to $185.5 million. This is a reversal of the 2014 trend that saw hardware up nearly every month while game sales lagged behind. It is likely switching around now as the hardware market is settling into place.

We’ll get to the full software sales list here in a moment, but first we always like to point out that the NPD numbers are only representative of new physical games sold at U.S. retailers. While that makes up a huge chunk of the market, it does not include digital or mobile. With that in mind, you should probably only view these numbers and results as a snapshot of trends in a wider market.

With that out of the way, let’s get to the game sales.

Software

1. Dying Light (PS4, Xbox One, PC)
2. Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare (Xbox One ,PS4, 360, PS3, PC)
3. Grand Theft Auto V (Xbox One, PS4, 360, PS3)
4. Minecraft (360, PS3, Xbox One, PS4)
5. NBA 2K15 (Xbox One, PS4, 360, PS3, PC)
6. Super Smash Bros. (Wii U, 3DS)
7. Far Cry 4 (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, PC)
8. Madden NFL 15 (Xbox One, PS4, 360, PS3)
9. Destiny (Xbox One, PS4, 360, PS3)
10. FIFA 15 (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, Wii, Vita, 3DS)

 

But how much of that is because for 1 week Xb one was priced $100 below the Jan 2014 price, and for 3 weeks it was priced $150 below the Jan 2014 price? That's a 23% decline, and the Xb one YoY price drop is ~38 based roughly on 1 week at $399 and 3 weeks at $349. When there is such a huge price difference for one of the major consoles then the revenue figure isn't a very good measure of health.

Harking back to page 1 with the Amazon software best sellers

pos	title	platforms	ranks in top 100
1	Just Dance 2015	Wii, 360, PS4, Xb1, PS3, Wii U	8, 79
2	Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare	PS4, X1, 360, PS3, PC	11, 17, 33, 59
3	SSB 3DS	3DS	12,
4	SSB U	Wii U	19,
5	GTAV	PS4, PS3, X1, 360	22, 54
6	Pokemon OR/AS	3DS	27, 29
7	Dying Light	PS4, Xb1, PC	32, 68
8	Minecraft	360, PS3, Xb1, PS4, PC, PSV	39, 57
9	Far Cry 4	PS4, Xb1, PC	41, 63
10	inFamous: Second Son	PS4	42,

Amazon got a 6/10 record of accuracy if you don't consider NPD position. But Amazon only got CoD right in terms of placement in the top 10. Conclusion: don't rely on Amazon for nationwide software trends.

I'm surprised that Xb one is doing the job for GTAV.