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The first Xenoblade Chronicles was released on wii back in 2010. I don't think development for xeno x started untill a few months after that. That means it took slightly more than 4 years to develop Xeno X. However, as monolith's first HD project, it probably took quite longer to develop due to their inexperience.

I think that if they start right away and use the same engine + some assets, they could make a new xenoblade of the same size (but more detailed) in much less time. Maybe it's possible that they deliver a new game in late 2017 or early 2018, being at the launch/launch window of the next home console for nintendo.

Thoughts?