Hum there's a little wrench here.
I dunno what their source is but the GAF NPD thread seems to confirm something I've started suspecting for a few days. They have the 23rd of January marked as the date TLOU started being bundled with the PS4. That coincides with what we saw in some retailers like Best Buy (I think Gamestop too?). Target doesn't even offer TLOU yet.
If amazon was one of the few or even the only retailer selling PS4 with tlou before the 23rd than these charts might not be all that accurate. That'd make the 15th-23rd period: X1 with 2 games for 350, PS4 without any games for 400, except on Amazon. And between 3rd and 15th, similar but with X1 at 400, although 350 by third parties.
Only thing for sure is that with a more widely available TLOU offering PS4 definitely won the last week of January (and should be on track to continue winning all upcoming weeks). Might have won the first one too if the third parties still selling at 350 did not move a huge volume of them. The other two are a bit of a mystery if what I wrote above is true.
I doubt that will make Amazon an unreliable predictor of NPD. You have a few days in the month where Amazon has PS4 with a better deal than other retailers, but for the 13 days prior to that you have Xb one at >$350 at all retailers and selling low numbers, compared to PS$, and then for a week you have PS4+TLOUR at all retailers with sales charts matching Amazon, more or less. I can see the possibility of Xb one winning that week but not by enough to change the likely NPD outcome.
So here is the top 10 software for Amazon (pre-orders excluded obviously). Who thinks this will accurately reflect NPD?
1. Just Dance 2015
2. CoD AW
3. SSB 3DS
4. SSB U
5. GTA V
6. Pokemon R/S
7. Dying Light
8. inFamous SS
10. Far Cry 4
Personally I don't think JD 2015 will be the top selling game on NPD. But CoD being number 1 is kinda to be expected without any top class new releases. Does NPD combine the SSB sales? If they do then SSB UDS could be #1 or #2. I don't think inFamous SS will show up. Obviously multiplats like FC4 and Minecraft will sell more across all platforms. Even though Ass Creed U is selling like ass on Amazon I expect it to get into the top 10.
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