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@firefly
I accept all bets that accepted of course, I want as many avatars under my control as possible.

@intrinsic
They're right. the problem is that x1 will sell a huge amount during the holidays, and in that time, ps4 will lose it's 100% bonus.

basically, for every million that x1 sells, ps4 needs to sell 2m. The reason why my prediction seems so impossible is because people think it can't outsell that through the year. But it doesn't need to, because it can reach +100% at least once this year, but that will be gone by early holiday.

The problem also has to do with volume. Early in the year ps4 can easily do 4-1 several times.. but at only 30m total consoles combined, the bet is kind of skewed in my favor...because small numbers and a small total make bigger impacts. However, once christmas rolls around and ps4 and x1 have even just one week at 1m each, it erases many weeks of being 4-1 ratio.
ie, as the numbers get higher and higher, it gets harder and harder to acheive....until the point that one flatlines.