Protendo said:
AlfredoTurkey said:
Protendo said:
AlfredoTurkey said:
And you say the PS4 is winning. It hasn't won since... what, October? What is the overall lead now? Like, 600,000? Simple math says that Xbone will catch up and pull ahead at some point unless the PS4 can somehow start winning weeks again.
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As someone who minored in both math and statistics, could you explain this simple math that allows you to feel so confident in your reasons behind the Xbox One's January win?
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The demographics. People tend to think their views are the views of the world when that's rarely the case. I'd say that the VAST majority of us are fans of ICO. It's legendary. But ask the typical 16 year old kid who only plays COD, Titanfall, Madden and Halo about it and you'll like get called a homosexual slur or a "what?!?".
The Xbox 360 won the US because MS knows the majority of sales are to those people. They know those people. They own those people and it's those people that think Xbox=gaming. That's why COD on Xbone is outselling COD on PS4 in the US, even though it's being sold on a console with an install base that is currently around 600,000 behind.
I just don't think there are enough of us to matter in the US. The Madden, COD crowed will win the day imo. But, we'll just have to wait and see.
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Thanks for getting back to me. I'm only intrested in the math. I'm a cold calculating logical kind of guy and find formulas and calculations interesting. As far as your post, Microsoft has proven that they don't know the US/Gamers as well as you claim with their disasterous pre-launch, but this has nothing to do with the math I was interested in. COD on the Xbox was outselling the PS4 because of the exclusive marketing agreement. Same thing happened with Watch Dogs landslide win on the PS4. These cases have an extra variable that must be accounted for.
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Exactly. As I always say, past numbers taken in a vacuum are not an accurate basis for determining present or future potential for success. If they were, Elder Scrolls would still be super niche and FPSs would be playing second fiddle to platformers. And one variable in this instance is actually demographics. The demographics frequenting malls, Amazon, etc shift during the holidays; it's a different group who are less informed on the product and more easily motivated by deals and bargains. But that's once a year and Sony *chose* to *allow* Xbox to have it. They barely tried. But trust me, that won't happen this year with their heavy hitters landing.
